Taylor, Miley, SZA, or an unexpected contender – who stands a chance to claim significant victories at the Grammy Awards?

By M Muzamil Shami

In the latest installment of "The Awardist" podcast, we analyze the leading categories and engage in a conversation with Da'Vine Joy Randolph, a nominee for "The Holdovers" category, as the Oscars approach.

Could Taylor Swift secure an unprecedented fourth Album of the Year Grammy win with "Midnights"? The possibility seems promising, but the Grammys have a history of defying expectations.

In a recent episode of The Awardist podcast, EW music editor Jason Lamphier acknowledges that these awards often resemble popularity contests. Taylor Swift, an artist universally lauded for her performances and songwriting, stands out with an impeccable reputation. Lamphier notes her record-breaking Eras Tour in 2023, solidifying her status as a "pop culture icon."

However, Lamphier offers a nuanced perspective on "Midnights," deeming it a safe choice that may not match the strength of other albums on the list. While acknowledging its Grammys appeal, he suggests that, compared to its competitors, "Midnights" might not stand out.

Among the contenders are albums like "World Music Radio" by Jon Batiste, "The Record" by Boygenius, "Endless Summer Vacation" by Miley Cyrus, "Did You Know That There's a Tunnel Under Ocean Blvd" by Lana Del Rey, "The Age of Pleasure" by Janelle Monáe, "Guts" by Olivia Rodrigo, and "SOS" by SZA.

Jason delves into the intricacies of some contenders, expressing that "SOS" might face challenges due to its length and complexity, potentially challenging voters' preferences. Meanwhile, Lana Del Rey's "Did You Know That There's a Tunnel Under Ocean Blvd" earns praise for its genre-hopping and range, yet its complexity, with several songs exceeding five minutes, poses a question about voter reception.

In the dynamic landscape of Grammy predictions, Taylor Swift's pursuit of history faces competition from diverse and complex albums, leaving room for uncertainty in the outcome.

          (Photo: Getty Images - Design: Alex Sandoval) From the top, clockwise: SZA, Billie Eilish, Taylor Swift, Miley Cyrus, and Victoria Monét.

The contenders for Record of the Year include familiar names competing for the top honor:

"Worship" — Jon Batiste

"Not Strong Enough" — Boygenius

"Flowers" — Miley Cyrus

"What Was I Made For?" [from the motion picture Barbie] — Billie Eilish

"On My Mama" — Victoria Monét

"Vampire" — Olivia Rodrigo

"Anti-Hero" — Taylor Swift

"Kill Bill" — SZA

Jason suggests that despite "On My Mama" not being a massive radio hit or chart-topper, its blend of retro soul and hip-hop makes it a potential dark horse given the Grammy's affinity for retro sounds. On the other hand, he points out that "Flowers" has a modern-day disco vibe, being a catchy and inescapable track throughout the year, making it a strong contender for the top spot.